At the fifth annual True Contrarian conference on October 2-3, 2013, most developed equity markets are trading at or near their all-time highs, while emerging markets and mining shares are barely above their lowest points since the summer of 2009 and in some cases are their most undervalued since the fourth quarter of 2008. In a roundtable discussion, we explore how such a situation provides investors with unusual opportunities now, and what to be alert for during the upcoming year. The relationship between emotional human behavior and the action in the global financial markets is examined.
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A blueprint for asset allocation is presented, after which we debate its pros and cons. We also discuss how to recognize when the next major equity bear market is approaching and the most compelling ways to profit from it.
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